Syria's fork in the road: sovereignty or fragmentation?

On the 21st anniversary of Hariri's assassination, we remember what he stood for and pray that Syrians fully absorb the lessons the Lebanese learned in the aftermath of his killing

Syria's fork in the road: sovereignty or fragmentation?

Despite the 21 years that have passed since his assassination, the memory of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri continues to invoke longing and appreciation across large swathes of Lebanese society. He embodied the notion of strong and viable state institutions in the place of Lebanon's corrupt and sectarian power-sharing system that remains in place to this day.

Hariri's assassination on 14 February 2005 seems like aeons ago, but the reasons behind his killing are still present in today's society. Where he stood for moderation, today's politicians insist on extremism, where he stood on development and reconstruction, today's leaders thrive on corruption and decay.

In truth, Hariri’s adversaries extended beyond the men who actually assassinated him. Certain figures who mourn him today bear a troubling resemblance to those who conspired against him and worked to upend his vision. Even those who may not share Hezbollah's vision and politics still benefit from a weak state, so they continue to stand in the way of strengthening the state.

Even though today, the major obstacles to a strong Lebanese state have been eliminated or weakened— i.e. the fall of the Assad regime and Israel's crippling of Hezbollah manpower and assets—many politicians are still obstructing the emergence of such a state.

Lessons unlearned

The same goes for Syria. Many are trying to justify the retention of arms beyond legitimate bounds. Even those who fought Hezbollah and struggled for years against Bashar al-Assad have come to adopt the same logic they once resisted. They have begun treating the state as an abstract claim to authority rather than a principled framework grounded in law and accountability.

Either we will be a state of citizens or a loose array of sects. Surely, hundreds of thousands of Syrians didn't lay down their lives for the latter outcome.

The exclusive possession of arms by legitimate state institutions forms the bedrock upon which any durable polity must rest. In its absence, Syria risks entering the same destructive cycle that engulfed Lebanon after Taif—a cycle that feeds on sectarianism, which is the principal engine of national decay.

Sectarianism corrodes the very notion of citizenship and reduces the state to a fragile coalition of sects whose self-appointed spokesmen threaten withdrawal whenever their private interests appear imperilled.

Syria today stands before a rare opportunity to build a nation and a state—an opportunity that the forces of darkness denied Rafik Hariri in Lebanon. The choice is stark: either Syria becomes a state of citizens or a loose array of sects and tribes. Surely, hundreds of thousands of Syrians didn't lay down their lives for the latter outcome.

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