Renewing the Saudi-US partnership

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's visit to Donald Trump’s White House is a moment to reset relations that have long been based on oil and security. Today, they encompass much more.

Renewing the Saudi-US partnership

The anticipated visit of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to Washington this week marks a pivotal moment in the course of US-Saudi relations and may be one of the most consequential meetings in years. Ties between these two longstanding partners are entering a phase of renewal, and they are exploring how their deep-rooted interests can shape the sweeping transformations across the Middle East and the wider world.

The crown prince arrives with a crowded agenda. Discussion points include Gaza, the two-state solution, Iranian influence, Syrian reconstruction, the growing role of Russia and China, maritime security in the Red Sea, developments in energy markets, economic recovery, and Artificial Intelligence (AI), an emerging new factor in geopolitical power dynamics.

Of these, the Syrian file stands out. Earlier this year, US President Donald Trump approved a Saudi request to lift damaging US sanctions on Damascus, imposed during the era of former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. The recent historic visit by Syria’s President Ahmed al-Sharaa to the White House was billed as “giving Syria a chance”.

Evolving partnership

The crown prince’s visit to Washington cannot be fully understood without revisiting the history of modern Saudi-US relations, which began in earnest in February 1945, when King Abdulaziz met US President Franklin D. Roosevelt aboard the USS Quincy and established a partnership grounded in oil and security. Eight decades later, that formula is no longer sufficient. The region has evolved, Saudi Arabia has grown more assertive, and the global balance of power has changed.

Their partnership has been tested over the years, not least by the Arab uprisings of 2011, the US rapprochement with Iran under President Barack Obama (and the subsequent 2015 nuclear agreement), US military withdrawal from Iraq, the 2023 resumption of Saudi-Iranian relations, and the 2024 revolution in Syria. Yet despite these challenges, the thread of mutual US-Saudi interests has remained resilient. Riyadh has maintained open channels and strategic flexibility, while Washington has continued to recognise Saudi Arabia’s regional influence and its critical role in the global economy.

The old formula is no longer sufficient. The region has evolved, Saudi Arabia is more assertive, and the global balance of power has changed.

In recent years, a key pillar of this enduring resilience has been the relationship between Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and US President Donald Trump, whose decision to make Saudi Arabia his first foreign visit in 2017 sent a clear message about its importance. He returned to Riyadh in May, at the outset of his second term.

Bilateral relations are based on mutual interest and understanding. The US remains a cornerstone of the international order, while Saudi Arabia is advancing a transformative project that demands capable partners to translate its vision into concrete outcomes, influence, and stability. Whenever recalibration is needed, both sides act swiftly, driven by a shared recognition that severing ties is not a viable option.

Saudi repositioning

The Saudi Arabia heading to Washington this week is markedly different from Saudi Arabia a decade ago, when it was an ally whose influence was limited to the energy sector. Today, it is broadening its horizons economically, politically, militarily, and technologically. It is forging partnerships with China, India, Japan, South Korea, Russia, and Pakistan while retaining its prominent voice in the OPEC+ grouping of oil-producing nations, where it is driving a strategy focused on market stability as the world transitions to new energy models.

These shifts strengthen Riyadh's negotiating hand in Washington, as the crown prince looks to revitalise a long-term partnership that spans politics, defence, and joint ventures in areas such as AI and advanced computing. Key priorities for Riyadh now include regional frameworks to address critical issues, because the Middle East can ill afford any new power vacuums or instability.

The Syrian file stands out as an early test of the two sides' ability to forge a workable understanding. Should Washington lift sanctions before the end of the year, it would signal its departure from the stance adopted for 'Assad's Syria'. This neither secured political transition nor curbed Iranian influence, but rather fostered a war economy, empowered militias, fuelled narcotics smuggling, impoverished millions, and deepened the sense of chaos.

Saudi Arabia is shifting Arab engagement with Damascus towards reconstruction, the return of refugees, and the dismantling of al-Assad's war economy, which will reinforce stability and counter extremism. If the easing of US sanctions is pursued in earnest, it could position Washington as a partner in this endeavour, rather than a hindrance.

This week, both Riyadh and Washington have the chance to establish new frameworks that connect security with technology and investment with stability. The Middle East has undergone significant changes, and the key players have evolved. Although the US still holds many keys, it is no longer the sole gatekeeper. For its part, Saudi Arabia is now a regional policymaking power, and arrives in Washington with the confidence of a state enjoying a diverse network of relationships capable of reinforcing and revitalising the partnership.

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