Iran uses Gaza to play politics in the Middle East

The price for a desired re-engagement with the West is being paid all over the Arab world, where Tehran’s militias are at work, and Gaza’s plight is reduced to a bargaining chip in power games

Iran uses Gaza to play politics in the Middle East

A few days after he resigned from a top government job in Iran, Mohammad Javad Zarif changed his mind. He retracted his move to step down and returned as the country’s deputy president for strategic affairs.

Zarif, who served as foreign minister for eight years during Hassan Rouhani's presidency, played a pivotal role in securing the 2015 nuclear agreement. His return to the spotlight in the newly created position is viewed as part of Iran's preparations to initiate fresh dialogue with the United States.

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei opened the door to the prospect of negotiations with the US (its long-standing foe) in his speech at the first meeting of the government of the country’s President Masoud Pezeshkian, who took office in late July.

Khamenei said, "There is no harm in dealing with the enemy, but do not trust them," referring to the US. During his election campaign, Pezeshkian also announced his plan to reduce tensions with Iran’s adversaries in the West.

The new foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, also announced the government's intention to resume talks with Washington, stating that his administration aims to revive the 2015 nuclear agreement and lift the imposed sanctions.

Clear signal

Zarif’s retraction of his resignation – along with the top-level statements – clearly indicates that Tehran is prepared to move on from the secret and slow rounds of secret negotiations, which have been underway at times in Oman, Qatar, and Geneva. It now wants more serious and comprehensive talks.

Although it is anticipated that nothing substantial will occur before the US election, Iran is signalling its readiness for engagement after the vote. It has a clear preference for the Democratic candidate, Kamala Harris, over her Republican rival, Donald Trump, the former president who cancelled the nuclear agreement.

Iran has a clear preference for Harris over Trump and has signalled its readiness for engagement after the US election

But there is irony in Tehran's desire for talks and its demonstration of rationality and flexibility toward the US. These steps come as it continues to destabilise the Middle East through its network of proxies, the militia groups it controls.

Stirring sectarian tensions

Khamenei took to social media to refer to the region's fraught politics, which is another irony since the site he chose—X, formerly Twitter—is banned inside Iran. He referred to the ongoing conflict between the "Yazidis" (followers of Yazid bin Muawiya) and the "Husseinis" (referring to Hussein bin Ali), citing its roots in historical disagreements. This choice was a blatant example of the use of religion in politics and the fuelling of sectarian strife in the region.

Iran strategically maintains such tensions so it can escalate them if it chooses to transform the conflict into another form, as alluded to by Khamenei's social media post. The continuous incitement against Arab countries – particularly Jordan – has not ceased.

Additionally, there appears to be an attempt to provide Benjamin Netanyahu's government in Israel with an opportunity to strike the West Bank, similar to the actions taken in Gaza, where no ceasefire agreement has been reached, despite ongoing international and Arab efforts.

Tehran needs to negotiate with the West and engage rationally with the next US administration. However, while calling for talks, Tehran continues to sponsor the way its militias destabilise other countries. The region – particularly Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq – has already paid a heavy price, not least during the presidency of Barack Obama.

If Harris is to succeed him in the White House next year, the situation could be equally dire. These militias will not only become an established reality but may also be something Washington chooses to overlook.

And so, while Tehran's policy toward the West evolves, the cost of what Iran is doing is borne in the other direction, as its militias remain at work across the Middle East. Gaza, and the war there, in this context, is no more than a tool for Tehran. Those who allowed it to be used as a bargaining chip in Khamenei's hands should be held accountable for high treason.

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