Algeria's road to BRICS is not paved

BRICS sees Algeria as a pivotal player capable of facilitating the bloc's penetration into uncharted markets like Africa and Europe.

Algeria has some ways to go before being able to meet the requirements to join BRICS, one of which is a strong GDP. To this end, Algeria has set its sights on doubling its oil and gas production.
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Algeria has some ways to go before being able to meet the requirements to join BRICS, one of which is a strong GDP. To this end, Algeria has set its sights on doubling its oil and gas production.

Algeria's road to BRICS is not paved

Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune has openly voiced his desire for Algeria to join BRICS — a group of emerging economic heavyweight countries.

Algeria's strained relations with Europe are a key reason why he is seeking alternative partnerships, Nabar Suleiman, a professor of political science and international relations tells Al Majalla.

"Algeria wants to diversify its commercial partners,” he says, adding that “relations with Europe are tense, and Algerian political parties are calling for a review of the terms of the association agreement with the European Union, which entered into force in 2005. The president himself has called for this on several occasions.”

The relationship between Algeria and Spain, for example, was good until Madrid changed its stance on Western Sahara. The relationship between Algeria and France is also at its lowest point in decades due to recent angry and provocative statements made by French officials."

Why BRICS?

Suleiman believes that Algeria is looking for new partnerships to protect its interests amid multiple global crises.

"Algeria is a vast and sprawling country with interests in the western Mediterranean region, the coastal region, and the desert region," Suleiman said.

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Algiers coastline.

"Algeria is looking to safeguard its interests and find its place in the new world order which is being shaped by a number of global crises, particularly the economic aftershocks of the Covid-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukrainian war."

Algeria is looking to safeguard its interests and find its place in the new world order shaped by several global crises, particularly the economic aftershocks of the Covid-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukrainian war.

Nabar Suleiman, political science professor

"These crises have disrupted the global economy and created new challenges, including food security, for countries like Algeria."

Another reason for Algeria's interest in new partnerships is its newfound keenness on cooperation and partnership.

Suleiman explains: "Since President Tebboune came to power, Algeria has been leaning towards establishing partnerships based on mutual interests instead of unilateral decision-making."

BRICS is a group of emerging economies that was established in 2009. It began with four member states – Brazil, Russia, India, and China, and was later joined by South Africa in 2010.

It aims to break global financial hegemony by challenging Western dominance — particularly that of the United States. In many ways, BRICS is trying to level the playing field and create a fairer global system.

Is the road paved?

Despite its desire to join the bloc, Algeria has some ways to go before being able to meet the requirements to do so. One of the key prerequisites for joining BRICS is a strong GDP, Suleiman explains.

"While Algeria cannot be a full-fledged member of the upcoming summit of the organisation, it hopes to be an observer member who will also participate in the group's New Development Bank," Tebboune said.

Tebboune said he aims to bring Algeria's GDP up to $200bn by redoubling efforts in investment, economic and human development and boosting exports.

But the challenge lies in the modest size of Algeria's economy. According to the World Bank, Algeria's GDP was around $163bn in 2021. This is significantly smaller than the GDPs of the other BRICS countries.

To put things into perspective, the GDP of South Africa — the smallest among BRICS countries — is around $419bn, which is more than double Algeria's economy.

This underscores Tebboune's drive toward the $200bn mark as a prerequisite for group membership, which experts believe can be done, especially because of its oil and gas reserves.

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The In Amenas gas field, jointly operated by British oil giant BP, Norway's Statoil in eastern Algeria near the Libyan border.

To this end, Algeria has set its sights on doubling gas production with the goal of achieving annual exports totalling 100 billion cubic meters by 2023. At the same time, a well-defined strategy has been crafted to reach $10bn in non-hydrocarbon exports within the same year and hopes to boost this figure even further to $15bn in the coming years.

Despite its desire to join the bloc, Algeria has some ways to go before being able to meet the requirements to do so. One of the key prerequisites for joining BRICS is a strong GDP. To this end, Algeria has set its sights on doubling gas production.

Structural and developmental need

On his part, Dr. Nour al-Sabah Aknoush, a political science professor at the Algerian University of Biskra believes that a BRICS partnership with Algeria — regardless of whether it becomes a full-fledged member or not — would be a value add to the group.

"BRICS sees Algeria as a pivotal player capable of facilitating the bloc's penetration into uncharted markets like Africa and Europe. Additionally, Algeria can extend BRICS' reach beyond its own borders, leveraging its spatial assets, resources, intellectual elite, and notably, its capacity to shape international and regional cooperation dynamics through non-Western approaches to development."

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Leaders of the BRICS countries pose for a group photo in Johannesburg on August 23, 2023.

Many emerging economies around the world are hoping to join BRICS. They see it as a "structural and developmental necessity", Aknoush explains.

"On its part, Algeria is enacting a string of reforms necessary to join international blocs such as BRICS. These reforms will help Algeria grow and develop," he says.

BRICS sees Algeria as a pivotal player capable of facilitating the bloc's penetration into uncharted markets like Africa and Europe. Additionally, Algeria can extend BRICS' reach beyond its own borders.

Dr. Nour al-Sabah Aknoush, political science professor

"There is a strong political will to develop infrastructure so that it can adapt to the dynamics of new markets in Asia and Latin America," he explains.

"Should Algeria succeed, this could open the economy up to promising horizons and make it one of North Africa's strongest economies," he says.

Algeria is trying to align with the values promoted by the bloc, such as sovereignty, independence, and equitable allocation of resources and prosperity.

"BRICS and Algeria both stand to gain from cooperating with one another and should capitalise on the new world order that is currently forming."

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