Pandemic recovery
The Bahraini economy suffered from the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, but the country has begun to recover.
The World Bank estimates that the economy grew by 2.2% in 2021 after contracting by 5% in 2020. Bahrain's economy also recorded remarkable growth in 2022 amounting to 4.9%, according to data from the Information and E-Government Authority.
The non-oil economy played an active role with a growth rate of 6.2%.
Additionally, tourism has grown, with tourism revenues up 50% in 2022 to about $4bn, while visitor numbers rose about 20% to 9.9 million in the same year.
The sector has benefited from economic and social openness, attracting a greater number of specialised meetings and conferences and hosting sporting activities such as Formula One and football competitions.
Fourth industrial revolution
At the end of 2021, Bahrain launched the Industrial Sector Strategy 2022-2026, which focuses on increasing the contribution of the industrial sector to economic growth, increasing the exports of the national industrial sector, providing promising jobs for citizens in the industrial sector, and supporting the transformation of the sector toward the fourth industrial revolution.
It is also designed to promote moves to a carbon-neutral economy and improved environmental and social governance. There are policies to encourage investment in technological infrastructure and the digitisation of manufacturing, while boosting the efficiency of supply chains through the integration of Gulf industries.
These ambitions are clear signs that Bahraini government sources are right when they claim the country has rebounded from the Covid-19 crisis and has been able to benefit from political changes as it enhances security and social stability.
Oil has a role – and clear limits
Oil was discovered early in Bahrain, in 1935, and the industry remains as major part of the national economy. But it only accounts for about 0.2% of global production at under 198,000 barrels a day.
That means Manama's oil revenue is limited, making it all the more determined to improve the performance of other economic sectors.
Its long history of expertise in human development gives Bahrain a strategic alternative to oil and a potential advantage over other Gulf states. To keep it, it must now pay more attention to the latest technological developments and upskill its citizens to adapt to the changes and challenges in the labour market.