Alan Greenspan, former chairman of the Federal Reserve, and Riad Salameh, governor of the Central Bank of Lebanon, have some things in common.
Both have had their fair share of praise, recognition, and honours, which gave way to a period of significant criticism. In Salameh’s case that escalated to accusations of wrongdoing.
Greenspan left US interest rates low for a long time. The move to boost the US economy, its government and his own prospects of term renewal ended up creating major problems.
It triggered a boom in the housing market, as low- and middle-class earners were enticed to secure mortgages, which low rates made more affordable.
The boom in loans led to the banks creating securities based on mortgage debt, which they sold around the world, taking exposure to the housing market outside US borders.
When rates eventually needed to be hiked, borrowers defaulted on their debts, causing a devastating mortgage crisis that had a ripple effect not just in the US, but also in several European countries.
In Lebanon, Salameh resorted to a Ponzi scheme as a strategy to acquire foreign currencies from local banks via offering appealing interest rates. He used the money to support a corrupt and insolvent public sector via an artificial exchange rate to gain political support in his upcoming presidential campaign.
Decline in dollar resources
But at the onset of the Syrian conflict, Lebanon’s dollar-denominated resources dwindled as remittances sent home by citizens working in the Gulf fell in line with lower oil prices.
Immediate action was necessary to address the crisis and private financial engineering was implemented with the banks. This approach increased the central bank’s foreign currency reserves while providing lucrative benefits to the banks in exchange.
The crisis erupted at the outset of Salameh's fifth term running the central bank. The subsequent halting of payments for Eurobonds revealed a gaping hole in its accounts, a deficit that had been hinted at in several reports and was now estimated to be a staggering $70bn.
This figure evokes memories of the infamous Ponzi scheme run by Bernard Madoff that was revealed amid the chaos of the American mortgage crisis back in 2008.
Lebanon’s central bank failed to fulfill its commitments to local banks due to the government’s inability to meet its foreign financial obligations. This caused difficulties for the banks in returning their clients’ deposits, ultimately resulting in a severe economic crisis for the country.