How the Iraq invasion set the stage for IS

The rapid overthrow of Saddam Hussein’s regime, the ill-thought process of de-Baathification, and Iraq’s collapse into chaos created perfect conditions for a jihadist insurgency

How the Iraq invasion set the stage for IS

As the world marks the 20-year anniversary of the US-led invasion of Iraq, there can be no doubting the enormous significance that event had in setting the stage for what we know as the Islamic State.

The rapid overthrow of Saddam Hussein’s regime, the ill-thought process of de-Baathification, and Iraq’s collapse into chaos created perfect conditions for a jihadist insurgency.

In the early days of Iraq’s Sunni insurgency, there were a plethora of groups vying for influence, but it was the vicious sectarian vision of IS founding father Abu Musab al-Zarqawi that secured its dominant role.

Decades-old roots

IS roots actually date back to the late 1980s, when Zarqawi had his first foray into jihadism, through a small group: Bayt al-Imam. This path, paved in prison via Zarqawi’s relationship with Jordanian jihadist ideologue Abu Mohammed al-Maqdisi, saw him travel to Afghanistan, plot attacks at home in Jordan, get re-arrested and imprisoned, only to be released in 1999 to continue his terror activities.

It wasn’t until the early 2000s, on a second trip to Afghanistan, that Zarqawi first made contact with al-Qaeda and Osama Bin Laden. Bin Laden was reportedly appalled by Zarqawi’s unsavory behaviours, his tattoos, and his sectarianism, but another al-Qaeda figure Sayf al-Adel was sympathetic and secured Zarqawi a $200,000 donation to establish a training camp on Taliban-owned soil.

Zarqawi and his group, renamed Jund al-Sham and then Jamaat al-Tawhid wal Jihad, later fled the US invasion of Afghanistan and dispersed to Iran, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Jordan.

By late 2002, Zarqawi had embedded within Ansar al-Islam territory in northern Iraq, thanks in part to help from his al-Qaeda ally, Sayf al-Adel. When US forces invaded Iraq in March 2003, one of the first sites hit was a Zarqawi-run training camp in al-Biyara.

Zarqawi’s determination to lead and shape Iraq’s insurgency was immediately clear. In August 2003, Jamaat al-Tawhid wal Jihad conducted a spate of major attacks, killing nearly 150 people outside the Jordanian Embassy in Baghdad, the UN mission headquarters, and the Imam Ali Mosque in Najaf.

Among those killed were UN Special Representative Sergio Viera de Mello and prominent Ayatollah Mohammed Baqir al-Hakim.

Evolution and the birth of IS

From 2003 on, as Jamaat al-Tawhid wal Jihad evolved into Majlis Shura al-Mujahideen and then al-Qaeda in Iraq, the group methodically escalated its campaign of mass violence, targeting US and allied troops, the international community, and Iraq’s Shiite population.

AFP
A huge poster in Baghdad of al-Qaeda's frontman in Iraq Abu Musab al-Zarqawi and a burning car with a caption that reads: "This what Zarqawi is doing in Iraq for our beloved ones now and in the future," in 2005.

In late 2006, the group evolved into the Islamic State in Iraq (ISI), marking its first attempt to establish a ‘state.’ Although this first entity was short-lived, defeated by the US-backed Iraqi tribal sahwa movement, in IS eyes, that state has continued to exist ever since. The loss of territory is merely a test from God, not a defeat. The ‘state’ lives on, with or without physical territory.

This first active phase of IS history, from 2003 to 2010, was unquestionably facilitated by the effects of the US-led invasion of Iraq, but it was also empowered by Syria’s al-Assad regime next-door.

This first active phase of IS history, from 2003 to 2010, was unquestionably facilitated by the effects of the US-led invasion of Iraq, but it was also empowered by Syria's al-Assad regime next-door.

From the first days of the invasion, Syria's military intelligence was funneling jihadist volunteers across the border to Iraq — in government buses, through open border crossings. By 2007, 95% of the thousands of suicide bombers responsible for attacks in Iraq had come via Syria.

Key ISI leaders lived in Syria and conducted planning meetings alongside Syrian regime officials. ISI training camps in eastern Syria were protected by Syria's military intelligence. Without such an enormous scale of al-Assad regime support, the ISI would never have grown like it did.

Regime brutality a key driver

This is why IS proved so successful in Syria after 2011 – first in the form of Jabhat al-Nusra and later IS. Syria was familiar territory and just like Iraq's invasion triggered AQI and the ISI's dramatic violence, Syria's uprising and collapse into chaos created conditions perfectly suited to IS's brutal sectarianism and pursuit of a territorial 'state.'

Nuri al-Maliki's appalling rule in Iraq and al-Assad's horrific violence in Syria fuelled the biggest flow of foreign fighters the world has ever seen – giving IS an unprecedented opportunity not only to control land in Syria and Iraq, but to proclaim itself a global movement.

Read more: Visit to IS camp stark reminder of hidden but ever-present terrorist threat

Nuri al-Maliki's appalling rule in Iraq and al-Assad's horrific violence in Syria fuelled the biggest flow of foreign fighters the world has ever seen – giving IS an unprecedented opportunity not only to control land in Syria and Iraq, but to proclaim itself a global movement.

That the international community intervened so swiftly to confront IS's second, larger 'state' project was no surprise — and neither was the subsequent defeat of that 'state' in al-Baghouz in early-2019.

But in Iraq and Syria, IS set a precedent and the world now faces a truly global IS challenge. In Africa, the group's expansion is a source of particularly acute concern. Ultimately though, none of this would have happened without the 2003 invasion of Iraq.

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